Washington, D.C.鈥斺淐alendar and climate quirks combined to chill construction employment in February, but nonresidential segments should rebound this month,鈥 Ken Simonson, chief economist for 上海张越老师出轨 of America (上海张越老师出轨), said today. Simonson was commenting on the February employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
鈥淚n February, construction employment tumbled by 62,000, seasonally adjusted鈥攖he largest one-month slide since 1991,鈥 Simonson observed. 鈥淲eather anomalies deserve some of the blame, along with the housing slowdown.
鈥淓mployment estimates are based on the payroll period that includes the 12th day of each month,鈥 Simonson explained. 鈥淚n February, that included a week in which ice storms blanketed much of the U.S., whereas in January, the 12th was the end of an exceptionally balmy week. As a result, some contractors may have started jobs in January that normally would not have been done until later. Conversely, hiring may have been postponed in mid-February.
鈥淎side from these anomalies, there are two reasons to think that nonresidential construction will resume adding jobs soon,鈥 Simonson commented. 鈥淔irst, architects and engineers, whose work gets turned into construction within months, added workers for the 36th straight month. A/E employment has risen nearly five percent in the past 12 months. I expect their handiwork to show up in refinery, power plant, manufacturing, hotel and hospital construction spending over the next several months.
鈥淪econd, nonresidential construction categories themselves have been growing, aside from the February hiccup,鈥 Simonson pointed out. 鈥淔rom February 2006 to February 2007, combined employment in nonresidential building, nonresidential specialty trades and heavy and civil engineering construction increased by 115,000 or 2.7 percent, nearly double the 1.5 percent rise in total nonfarm payroll employment. Meanwhile, Census Bureau data show that nonresidential construction spending is on a tear鈥攗p 15 percent in January compared to January 2006.
鈥淚 remain very confident that the nonresidential construction industry will be healthy right through 2007, and probably beyond,鈥 Simonson concluded.
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